Window FY2028–FY2033Scenario

CRF: Ambulance Equipment

Property taxes · Fire Fund · 20-year horizon

Every figure the reserves table quotes for this fund, derived again here line by line. The bar in a public meeting is not trust-the-software; it is check line four.

← all reserve funds · horizon 6 years10 years20 years

The answer

Holding today's deposit of $188,000 flat, this fund goes negative in FY2029. Closing the gap takes $32,077 a year more — or, with less price shock, a deposit that grows by $21,384 each year.

One recurrence, applied 20 times: balance = balance × (1 + 0.0%) + deposit − draws. Deposits are today’s figure, held flat. No solver and no goal-seek — the answers below are closed-form, so the same inputs always give the same figures.

Balance, both ways

negatives are shown, never floored — a fund going under is the finding
-$64k$1.9M$3.9M$5.8M$7.8MAt today’s deposit · FY2028 · $287,847At today’s deposit · FY2029 · -$64,153At today’s deposit · FY2030 · $123,847At today’s deposit · FY2031 · $311,847At today’s deposit · FY2032 · $499,847At today’s deposit · FY2033 · $687,847At today’s deposit · FY2034 · $875,847At today’s deposit · FY2035 · $1,063,847At today’s deposit · FY2036 · $1,251,847At today’s deposit · FY2037 · $1,401,947At today’s deposit · FY2038 · $1,589,947At today’s deposit · FY2039 · $1,777,947At today’s deposit · FY2040 · $1,965,947At today’s deposit · FY2041 · $2,153,947At today’s deposit · FY2042 · $2,341,947At today’s deposit · FY2043 · $2,529,947At today’s deposit · FY2044 · $2,717,947At today’s deposit · FY2045 · $2,905,947At today’s deposit · FY2046 · $3,093,947At today’s deposit · FY2047 · $3,281,947With the gradual step-up · FY2028 · $309,231With the gradual step-up · FY2029 · $0With the gradual step-up · FY2030 · $252,153With the gradual step-up · FY2031 · $525,690With the gradual step-up · FY2032 · $820,612With the gradual step-up · FY2033 · $1,136,918With the gradual step-up · FY2034 · $1,474,608With the gradual step-up · FY2035 · $1,833,683With the gradual step-up · FY2036 · $2,214,142With the gradual step-up · FY2037 · $2,578,085With the gradual step-up · FY2038 · $3,001,313With the gradual step-up · FY2039 · $3,445,925With the gradual step-up · FY2040 · $3,911,921With the gradual step-up · FY2041 · $4,399,302With the gradual step-up · FY2042 · $4,908,067With the gradual step-up · FY2043 · $5,438,216With the gradual step-up · FY2044 · $5,989,750With the gradual step-up · FY2045 · $6,562,668With the gradual step-up · FY2046 · $7,156,970With the gradual step-up · FY2047 · $7,772,657FY28FY29FY30FY31FY32FY33FY34FY35FY36FY37FY38FY39FY40FY41FY42FY43FY44FY45FY46FY47
At today’s depositWith the gradual step-up

The roll-forward, line by line

every draw names its projects
YearDepositDrawsDrawn byBalanceStep-up depositBalance, stepped
Openingavailable, net of commitments, as of 31 Oct 2025$794,747$794,747
FY2028$188,000$694,900Ambulance1 $497,000Cardiac Monitor Defibrillators $197,900$287,847$209,384$309,231
FY2029$188,000$540,000Ambulance 2 $526,000IV Med Pumps $14,000-$64,153$230,769$0
FY2030$188,000$123,847$252,153$252,153
FY2031$188,000$311,847$273,537$525,690
FY2032$188,000$499,847$294,922$820,612
FY2033$188,000$687,847$316,306$1,136,918
FY2034 ·beyond the window$188,000$875,847$337,690$1,474,608
FY2035 ·beyond the window$188,000$1,063,847$359,075$1,833,683
FY2036 ·beyond the window$188,000$1,251,847$380,459$2,214,142
FY2037 ·beyond the window$188,000$37,900RTV FD $37,900$1,401,947$401,843$2,578,085
FY2038 ·beyond the window$188,000$1,589,947$423,228$3,001,313
FY2039 ·beyond the window$188,000$1,777,947$444,612$3,445,925
FY2040 ·beyond the window$188,000$1,965,947$465,996$3,911,921
FY2041 ·beyond the window$188,000$2,153,947$487,381$4,399,302
FY2042 ·beyond the window$188,000$2,341,947$508,765$4,908,067
FY2043 ·beyond the window$188,000$2,529,947$530,149$5,438,216
FY2044 ·beyond the window$188,000$2,717,947$551,534$5,989,750
FY2045 ·beyond the window$188,000$2,905,947$572,918$6,562,668
FY2046 ·beyond the window$188,000$3,093,947$594,302$7,156,970
FY2047 ·beyond the window$188,000$3,281,947$615,687$7,772,657

Where the two answers come from

the same arithmetic, checkable on paper

The flat answer. The binding year is FY2029 — the year whose cumulative draws are hardest to cover. Through it:

Draws, FY2028–FY2029$1,234,900
less the opening balance− $794,747
less the deposits already planned− $376,000
Uncovered$64,153
spread over 2 equal annual additions$32,077 / yr

The gradual answer — the one with less price shock.Instead of the same amount every year, the addition grows: $21,384 in year one, $42,769 in year two, and so on. A deposit rising in year t contributes t steps by year T, so the divisor is 1 + 2 + … + 2 = 3rather than 2:

Uncovered through the binding year FY2029$64,153
divided by the triangle number 3$21,384 more each year

This is the recommendation the budget request prints: a gradual annual adjustment so that no year goes negative and there is less price shock. The Town raises a contribution once — it does not reset one. As projects shift, are removed, or reprice, both answers recompute; they cannot go stale.

What is lingering just outside the window

this is what drives the contribution
YearAssetDraw
FY2037RTV FD$37,900
A fund can look over-funded inside a six-year window and be correctly funded once the assets landing beyond it are on screen. The recommended contribution is computed on the full horizon, which is why this panel exists.